“second wave” of coronavirus arriving with the onset of the chilly winter months might be mistaken, a scientist has mentioned. ” data-reactid=”23″ kind=”textual content”>Predictions of a “second wave” of coronavirus arriving with the onset of the chilly winter months might be mistaken, a scientist has mentioned.
Professor Ben Neuman, chairman of organic sciences at Texas A&M College-Texarkana and visiting affiliate professor on the College of Studying, mentioned that coronaviruses usually “peak” in spring.
Neuman mentioned that predictions round coronavirus are likely to lean too closely on the influenza virus – which peaks in winter, however that the majority viruses aren’t as strictly seasonal because the flu.
Neuman mentioned that some viruses usually peak in spring, together with most coronaviruses, and others peak in summer time or autumn, like poliovirus.
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Neuman additionally believes that merely transferring indoors could not drive up coronavirus infections, because the winter months result in a kind of voluntary self-isolation.
Neuman mentioned, “The transfer indoors for the winter is probably not prone to drive up COVID-19 numbers by itself.
“A chilly winter can deliver by itself mini-quarantine, as we keep dwelling to keep away from unhealthy climate, and comes with a little bit of pure PPE within the type of scarves and gloves.
“As an alternative, search for modifications in behaviour that result in mixing of individuals from completely different households, particularly the place masks wouldn’t be worn, as a possible supply of COVID-19 – faculty reopenings, dinner events, eating places.”
Neuman additionally warned that the beginning of “flu season” might result in a surge in unfavorable checks, as folks with flu search coronavirus checks.
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Neuman mentioned: “A attainable side-effect of flu and COVID-19 season is that since each ailments begin off with comparable signs, extra folks can be in poor health sufficient to hunt COVID-19 testing.
“Paradoxically, an inflow of individuals with the flu looking for COVID-19 checks might probably drive down the proportion of optimistic checks, which might then misleadingly counsel that COVID-19 was reducing.
“That’s one cause why per cent optimistic charges shouldn’t be taken in isolation to observe the pandemic.”